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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #61 
    • Any thoughts on what the Navy is going to do with the enemy combatants? Gitmo looks like a direct hit.  Click on the map to enlarge.
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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #62 

Thus far the current models show Gustav continuing a northwesterly track into the Caribbean as opposed to to a sharp right turn toward Florida like Charlie did.  I am surprised by that and as yet have no explanation for it.  But I'm not complaining.

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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #63 
This is NOAA's latest track probability and cone of probability.  SW coast of Florida is still included in the cone but an unlikely probability.  Hold your mouse over the red dots for more info.

That Gustav is not likely to be over land on Cuba will add to its wind speed and the cone is bad news from the Florida panhandle to Texas.  For what it is worth there are over 3000 active oil riggs in that area.


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/storm.php?&basin=atlantic&sname=07L&zoom=4&img=1&vars=111110000000000000000&loop=0


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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #64 

Don't forget to review posts #58 and #59, page four on this thread, they are being updated every hour.

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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #65 

Gustav has stalled with  a forward wind speed of only 5mph and sustained winds of 60mph. Gustav is forecasted to again increase it's sustained winds to the area of 115/120mph before land fall.

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whk3rd

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Reply with quote  #66 
This is so cool. I can't figure out how you are updating old weather maps but it is amazing. Thanks
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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #67 

You're welcome! 

If you liked that you will love this. During the day your maps are from satellite pictures.  At night photographic imaging does not work (no light) so the satellite switches to infrared photography thus, the ability to take pictures at night.

How cool is that?

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whk3rd

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Reply with quote  #68 
But how is Kenzie updating new maps on the the old posts of #58 and #59. I would have assumed they were fixed. I can't keep up with this new world
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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #69 
She up-loads info from several secret sites, NOAA is one of them.  Those up-loads are almost all US Governmental or Agency some University.  They have the satellite down-loads for analysis.  We get essentially the same thing but 95% of what they get is for professional use.  What we attach to the Forum is mostly based on the assumption that "a picture is worth a 1000 words".

One other difference, K&C are focused on Captiva's potential vulnerability to a storm, not the whole Gulf of Mexico.  Others may have an interest in the entire Gulf and all storms but, neither K&C nor reebop want to turn the Forum into another weather channel.

For those with a broader interest the up-dating charts are there for their perusal.
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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #70 

With that thought in mind I think it is still to early to exhibit lack of concern regarding GUSTAV despite the spaghetti models and other inputs.  If Gustav continues it's westerly path beyond Cuba we will reconsider.

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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #71 

Attached is an infrared satellite picture of Gustav.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huirloop.html

PS:  What's that thing on 20th latitude between 50th an 60th longitude. Doesn't look good to me.  In fact, to the untrained eye it looks at least equally dangerous as Gustav.
 

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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #72 

It is, that  is tropical storm Hanna, 8th storm of the season.  Its direction is expected head for the Bahamas and the East Coast of the US.  That storm on the lower left of the IR picture is off Mexico in the Bay of Campeche and is too close to land to become a hurricane.

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captiivated

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Reply with quote  #73 
Attached is a photo of Hanna along with it's cone of probability.  It's threat to Captiva would seem limited. Currently Hanna would have to land fall on
SE Florida cross the state near Lake Okeechobee and come into Captiva across Pine Island Sound.  I rather doubt Hanna could maintain Hurricane status on that trek but it is possible.  Hanna is expected to reach Hurricane status by Sunday afternoon.


http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2008/Hanna.htm
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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #74 
Attached is an interesting picture of the entire Atlantic storm area.  Move your mouse over each of the four storm areas for current information.  Double click on the storm to view its likely path.
Also automatically updating. 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
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kenzie

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Reply with quote  #75 
Hanna's expected turn next Monday to the SW!!! is a real surprise.


[Image of 5-day forecast of predicted track, and coastal areas under a warning or a watch]
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